Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 15.104895 17.537745 20.179523 23.253886 26.725594 30.516662 34.961651
2025-09-07 11.225944 14.616725 18.662902 23.810107 30.143046 37.637044 47.128609
2025-09-14 8.937976 12.747325 17.641327 24.305297 33.045965 44.013040 58.690754
2025-09-21 7.096864 10.963669 16.259697 23.900099 34.470212 48.384452 67.853117
2025-09-28 5.689781 9.458386 14.928103 23.236027 35.279423 51.803664 75.817497
2025-10-05 5.210981 9.197569 15.261754 24.858787 39.291859 59.742872 90.342481
2025-10-12 4.746456 8.863495 15.406172 26.159323 42.881043 67.271956 104.728784
2025-10-19 4.160782 8.224248 14.970377 26.479557 44.971119 72.710739 116.387320
2025-10-26 3.644379 7.612587 14.483884 26.630577 46.756066 77.747441 127.685783
2025-11-02 3.131500 6.917624 13.756674 26.280257 47.666805 81.450361 137.119024
2025-11-09 2.673964 6.247123 12.977846 25.736776 48.174044 84.498045 145.646531
2025-11-16 2.277942 5.628312 12.206974 25.107376 48.448470 87.138661 153.615299
2025-11-23 1.856573 4.902028 11.180708 23.986360 47.925707 88.688686 160.363641
2025-11-30 1.659003 4.636927 11.035724 24.523729 50.432254 95.535598 176.355158
2025-12-07 1.483637 4.387216 10.884661 25.025857 52.907273 102.481697 192.920261
2025-12-14 1.260496 3.970167 10.312646 24.609289 53.607575 106.355764 204.451277
2025-12-21 1.054406 3.546481 9.656048 23.928002 53.714900 109.145666 214.217219
2025-12-28 1.022824 3.591512 10.081012 25.592281 58.560780 120.803978 240.217811
2026-01-04 0.971990 3.570755 10.345077 26.925843 62.833269 131.632643 265.252772
2026-01-11 0.872333 3.381940 10.170431 27.254176 65.065292 138.759625 283.922884
2026-01-18 0.776453 3.180893 9.933668 27.409010 66.936278 145.291019 301.802240
2026-01-25 0.671175 2.920835 9.501385 27.049836 67.672254 149.655521 315.841123
2026-02-01 0.573036 2.656440 9.012801 26.492589 67.919380 153.054405 328.198884